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Red245
234631.1
173066.7
452290.3
Blue154
93546.6
177566.5
180667.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1991670100300400245154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.30.8
92.293.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
67.00.3
64.664.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66.70.9
68.869.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
66.50.3
63.963.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2346
#44
31.11.0
33.434.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
935
#29
46.60.3
43.943.6
Auto
Teleop
End