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Red130
198245.6
216436.5
233519.8
Blue16
198417.3
48097.1
199415.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8355010015020013016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#16
45.64.2
28.933.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
1984
#47
17.33.6
23.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2164
#14
36.52.5
26.328.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
1994
#58
15.43.6
16.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2335
#52
19.84.2
24.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
4809
#54
7.13.6
19.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End