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Red196
173066.7
256013.5
177566.5
Blue22
445519.1
176428.8
173721.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8657010015020019622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.79.5
39.248.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.9
1764
#27
28.82.0
29.827.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66.59.5
30.840.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 44.9
1737
#45
21.73.3
16.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2560
#42
13.59.5
11.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4455
#31
19.13.3
15.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End