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Red130
445519.1
241044.3
173066.7
Blue27
177723.3
509820.9
233519.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036405015020013027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.72.8
57.660.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.4
1777
#32
23.33.6
21.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2410
#19
44.32.8
27.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
5098
#50
20.93.6
24.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4455
#31
19.12.8
11.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2335
#52
19.83.6
24.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End