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Red250
184718.9
198765.5
11889.6
Blue116
216733.1
352863.5
182731.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14283050100200250250116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
89.65.8
78.484.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.1
63.52.0
43.145.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#18
65.59.7
41.651.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.4
2167
#26
33.12.0
22.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1847
#49
18.99.7
13.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1827
#40
31.42.0
26.528.5
Auto
Teleop
End