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Red211
180667.0
11889.6
511924.7
Blue167
235720.1
198765.5
173066.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18015050100200250300211167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
89.61.8
89.891.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.9
66.70.8
67.768.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67.01.8
63.265.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1987
#18
65.50.8
67.268.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5119
#10
24.72.4
22.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2357
#55
20.10.8
20.120.9
Auto
Teleop
End