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Red216
198417.3
180248.4
495927.3
Blue103
176322.4
182731.4
241044.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541060150200250300216103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1802
#22
48.410.2
38.348.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2410
#19
44.30.3
48.048.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4959
#30
27.310.2
16.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1827
#40
31.40.3
29.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#47
17.310.2
7.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1763
#48
22.40.3
20.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End