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Red145
198696.5
518919.1
176428.8
Blue161
526825.1
176936.4
452290.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14315250100200250300145161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.0
97.897.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
90.30.5
92.492.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1764
#27
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1769
#23
36.40.7
35.736.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5189
#38
19.10.0
18.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
5268
#41
25.10.7
22.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End