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Final 12014 St. Louis Regional
Red180
150160.8
328459.0
450031.8
Blue97
425653.4
433020.5
198557.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15313205010020025030035018097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#1
60.80.6
60.3→60.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
1985
#5
57.70.6
59.1→58.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#4
59.00.5
58.5→59.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
4256
#2
53.40.6
54.7→54.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#18
31.80.5
31.4→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.4
4330
#40
20.50.6
21.8→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—