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Red150
150160.8
450031.8
328459.0
Blue91
425653.4
198557.7
433020.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15613005010020025030015091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.0
60.860.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
57.70.7
58.457.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
59.00.0
59.059.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
53.40.7
54.153.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4500
#18
31.80.0
31.931.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4330
#40
20.50.7
21.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End