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Quarterfinal 1-22014 St. Louis Regional
Red185
150160.8
328459.0
450031.8
Blue65
379234.5
517631.2
493113.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1616505010020025030018565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#1
60.80.7
58.7→59.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.3
3792
#11
34.50.3
34.8→34.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#4
59.00.7
57.2→57.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.8
5176
#24
31.20.3
31.5→31.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#18
31.80.7
30.0→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.3
4931
#16
13.50.3
13.8→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—