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Semifinal 1-22014 St. Louis Regional
Red186
328459.0
150160.8
450031.8
Blue135
93141.0
128853.3
283839.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14613250100200250300186135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#1
60.80.8
58.1→58.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
1288
#8
53.30.0
53.5→53.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#4
59.00.7
56.6→57.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.1
931
#7
41.00.0
41.2→41.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#18
31.80.7
29.5→30.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.5
2838
#15
39.30.0
39.5→39.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—