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Semifinal 1-32014 St. Louis Regional
Red220
450031.8
150160.8
328459.0
Blue121
283839.3
128853.3
93141.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913250100200250220121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#1
60.81.4
58.9→60.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
1288
#8
53.30.2
53.5→53.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#4
59.01.2
57.3→58.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.1
931
#7
41.00.2
41.2→41.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#18
31.81.2
30.1→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.5
2838
#15
39.30.2
39.6→39.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—