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Red137
423224.6
415418.9
425653.4
Blue125
433115.7
165843.5
514716.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8236050100150200137125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.43.1
49.552.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1658
#12
43.56.8
27.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4232
#33
24.65.1
15.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
5147
#37
16.16.8
8.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4154
#25
18.95.1
9.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4331
#36
15.76.8
7.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End