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Red78
339727.5
144414.5
290219.6
Blue56
120846.5
440423.3
278313.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418801001502007856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#23
27.52.4
17.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
1208
#14
46.51.2
39.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2902
#31
19.62.4
18.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4404
#26
23.32.1
21.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1444
#42
14.52.4
12.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2783
#44
13.72.1
19.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End