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Red115
120846.5
240818.4
132939.7
Blue131
128853.3
415418.9
402839.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8091050100150200115131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
46.51.7
38.640.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
53.32.1
44.646.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1329
#13
39.72.8
28.831.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4028
#19
39.63.5
29.833.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2408
#45
18.42.8
14.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4154
#25
18.93.5
15.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End