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Qual 302014 St. Louis Regional
Red170
517631.2
283839.3
339727.5
Blue17
423224.6
506019.1
500211.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6654010015017017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2838
#15
39.38.8
26.1→34.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.7
4232
#33
24.63.2
20.9→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5176
#24
31.28.8
18.3→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.1
5060
#32
19.13.2
14.7→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3397
#23
27.58.8
19.8→28.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.3
5002
#39
11.23.2
20.2→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—