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Red105
506019.1
27934.6
433115.7
Blue86
402839.6
165843.5
532617.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609105010015010586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#6
34.63.4
36.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
1658
#12
43.50.0
32.632.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5060
#32
19.13.4
13.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
4028
#19
39.60.0
33.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4331
#36
15.73.4
15.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
5326
#35
17.40.0
20.220.1
Auto
Teleop
End