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Red16
117812.7
415418.9
415613.6
Blue72
283839.3
290219.6
432932.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37840501001502001672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4154
#25
18.92.4
15.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
2838
#15
39.30.4
35.635.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4156
#29
13.62.4
17.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
4329
#10
32.10.2
23.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1178
#43
12.72.4
12.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2902
#31
19.60.4
17.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End