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Red41
532617.4
425653.4
240818.4
Blue89
433020.5
117812.7
423224.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1044201502004189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.42.7
56.453.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
4232
#33
24.62.5
19.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2408
#45
18.43.6
18.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4330
#40
20.51.9
21.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5326
#35
17.43.8
19.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1178
#43
12.72.7
11.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End