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Red60
433115.7
132939.7
424617.8
Blue93
450031.8
431413.3
144414.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8143020601001201401606093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#13
39.71.1
38.837.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4500
#18
31.82.2
23.225.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4246
#41
17.81.0
19.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1444
#42
14.52.9
13.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4331
#36
15.71.0
17.016.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4314
#34
13.32.9
12.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End