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Red175
19370.9
48447.0
108958.7
Blue176
34156.0
259080.8
1162.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171204050100150250300350400175176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#21
70.90.0
70.970.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
80.80.4
80.780.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.70.0
58.658.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
11
#24
62.20.4
62.161.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
#23
47.00.0
47.046.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
341
#40
56.00.4
56.055.6
Auto
Teleop
End