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Red182
48447.0
19370.9
108958.7
Blue226
1162.2
259080.8
34156.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172202050100150250300350400182226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#21
70.90.1
70.870.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
80.80.5
80.480.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.70.1
58.658.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
11
#24
62.20.5
61.762.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
#23
47.00.1
46.947.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
341
#40
56.00.5
55.656.0
Auto
Teleop
End