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Red195
22258.8
36557.1
218058.7
Blue192
171241.7
249544.7
392961.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911390100300400195192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#12
58.80.2
61.761.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3929
#15
61.90.7
61.662.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.70.2
61.661.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
44.70.7
44.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
365
#13
57.10.2
60.060.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
1712
#17
41.70.7
41.442.2
Auto
Teleop
End