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Red166
30442.5
167649.1
31652.4
Blue141
86951.9
130244.0
255944.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401396080100120160180200220166141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#37
52.41.3
51.152.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
869
#51
51.90.1
50.850.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
#38
49.11.3
47.849.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2559
#45
44.90.1
44.844.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
#27
42.51.3
41.242.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1302
#28
44.00.1
44.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End