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Red118
86951.9
164060.8
192341.5
Blue171
19370.9
48447.0
108958.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152179050100200250300350400118171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.6
61.460.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
193
#21
70.90.1
70.270.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
#51
51.90.6
52.551.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
58.70.1
57.957.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#41
41.50.6
42.241.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
484
#23
47.00.1
46.346.2
Auto
Teleop
End