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Red190
29374.3
30346.2
125740.4
Blue210
1162.2
259080.8
34156.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1502110100300400500600190210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#22
74.30.5
73.974.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
80.80.1
81.881.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
#34
46.20.5
45.846.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
11
#24
62.20.1
63.163.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
40.40.5
40.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
341
#40
56.00.1
57.057.1
Auto
Teleop
End