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Red128
457337.7
162646.2
198940.2
Blue250
249544.7
392961.9
35754.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117156050100200250300350400128250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#32
46.20.2
45.946.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
3929
#15
61.95.0
56.661.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1989
#52
40.20.2
39.940.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
357
#44
54.85.0
53.958.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4573
#29
37.70.2
37.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
44.75.0
39.344.3
Auto
Teleop
End