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Red142
22258.8
257738.7
171241.7
Blue171
218058.7
125740.4
5665.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361730100200300400142171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#12
58.80.0
61.661.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
56
#6
65.10.2
66.166.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#17
41.70.0
41.441.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
58.70.2
61.461.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2577
#20
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
40.40.2
39.840.0
Auto
Teleop
End