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Red129
171241.7
22587.2
29374.3
Blue175
140339.0
259080.8
86951.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171189050100150250300350129175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#3
87.22.3
81.979.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
80.80.6
83.883.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#22
74.32.3
60.458.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
869
#51
51.90.6
56.355.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1712
#17
41.72.3
31.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1403
#35
39.00.6
46.045.4
Auto
Teleop
End