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Red82
122845.3
219150.0
253919.1
Blue126
125740.4
1162.2
108958.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9514505020025030035082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#14
50.01.0
49.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
11
#24
62.20.5
61.060.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
#26
45.31.0
37.736.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
58.70.5
45.444.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2539
#50
19.11.0
15.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
40.40.5
30.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End