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Red106
27243.8
20344.8
22258.8
Blue118
31652.4
436135.2
437329.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139104050200250300350106118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#12
58.81.4
61.960.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
316
#37
52.40.4
50.851.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
203
#31
44.81.4
33.832.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
4361
#33
35.20.4
30.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
272
#46
43.81.4
37.936.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
4373
#48
29.10.4
27.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End