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Red103
457337.7
192341.5
511327.9
Blue173
259080.8
257738.7
149525.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104141050200250103173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#41
41.50.3
38.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.3
80.81.9
83.285.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4573
#29
37.70.3
37.637.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2577
#20
38.71.9
27.629.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5113
#53
27.90.3
33.333.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1495
#39
25.91.9
24.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End