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Red105
457337.7
22258.8
86951.9
Blue90
122845.3
2558.1
495431.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166120010020030040010590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#12
58.82.7
64.561.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
25
#16
58.11.9
57.555.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
#51
51.92.7
55.152.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1228
#26
45.31.9
39.837.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4573
#29
37.72.7
39.236.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
4954
#43
31.31.9
29.928.1
Auto
Teleop
End