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Red171
22587.2
149525.9
219150.0
Blue131
255944.9
19370.9
198940.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144161050100200250300350400171131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#3
87.21.2
79.680.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
193
#21
70.91.4
71.369.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2191
#14
50.01.2
43.644.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2559
#45
44.91.4
44.743.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1495
#39
25.91.2
23.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
1989
#52
40.21.4
42.240.8
Auto
Teleop
End