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Red104
171241.7
164735.2
272941.2
Blue99
403524.9
34156.0
7551.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912505010015020025010499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#17
41.70.8
38.537.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
341
#40
56.01.3
55.053.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2729
#18
41.20.8
39.738.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
75
#25
51.41.3
41.640.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1647
#49
35.20.8
41.640.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
4035
#47
24.91.3
27.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End