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Red121
440329.4
315831.7
497717.8
Blue37
466713.8
352218.5
477530.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746405010015012137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
31.70.9
29.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
30.40.6
31.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.40.9
27.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
3522
#21
18.50.5
19.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4977
#31
17.80.9
15.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4667
#30
13.80.5
14.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End