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Red119
393319.3
347842.5
347238.3
Blue103
315831.7
497717.8
440329.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10972050150200119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.3
43.744.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3158
#11
31.70.5
31.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38.30.3
39.539.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
29.40.5
29.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3933
#19
19.30.3
20.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4977
#31
17.80.5
17.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End