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Red22
335412.8
435525.8
46859.5
Blue26
460311.6
477530.4
348026.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384601001502002226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#10
25.81.5
14.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
30.41.6
17.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3354
#25
12.81.5
14.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
3480
#28
26.71.6
11.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4685
#36
9.51.5
9.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
4603
#22
11.61.6
16.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End