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Red12
497717.8
482015.5
463523.5
Blue65
473112.9
35109.9
352628.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284801001502001265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#12
23.51.6
9.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3526
#15
28.91.7
19.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4977
#31
17.81.6
10.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4731
#24
12.91.7
14.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4820
#13
15.51.6
11.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
3510
#29
9.91.7
10.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End