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Red72
352218.5
228347.5
440020.2
Blue5
47425.8
335412.8
467311.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39490100150200725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.6
15.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.6
3354
#25
12.83.6
18.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.22.6
12.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
11.43.6
15.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3522
#21
18.52.6
12.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
4742
#37
5.83.6
14.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End