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Qual 62014 Mexico City Regional
Red5
348026.7
435525.8
497717.8
Blue16
484213.1
393319.3
473112.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47490206080100120140160516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#28
26.73.5
14.9→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
3933
#19
19.32.7
16.8→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4355
#10
25.83.5
18.4→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.7
4842
#27
13.12.7
14.4→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4977
#31
17.813.2
23.7→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
4731
#24
12.92.7
17.2→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—