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Red22
379613.7
424524.8
453417.4
Blue150
205939.5
516024.9
428829.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5548010015020022150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4245
#45
24.82.6
16.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
39.55.6
22.928.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4534
#21
17.42.6
20.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
4288
#38
29.48.4
15.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3796
#49
13.72.6
16.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
24.98.4
9.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End