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Qual 242014 North Carolina Regional
Red101
153332.7
264246.2
519023.4
Blue151
248318.7
482832.7
264139.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57670100150101151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#13
46.23.5
31.6→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
2641
#7
39.84.8
29.8→34.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1533
#20
32.73.5
15.7→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
4828
#8
32.77.1
13.8→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5190
#12
23.43.5
11.5→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
2483
#36
18.77.1
21.7→28.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—