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Qual 382014 North Carolina Regional
Red12
381114.2
248318.7
379613.7
Blue65
482316.4
453417.4
141332.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39640501001501265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2483
#36
18.72.6
26.8→24.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.5
1413
#10
32.10.2
26.7→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3811
#43
14.22.6
5.9→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
4534
#21
17.40.4
15.8→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3796
#49
13.72.6
10.2→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
4823
#42
16.40.2
17.5→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—