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Red40
44929.3
47677.3
429114.9
Blue26
12211.2
373717.5
499610.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6427040801001201401604026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#18
29.31.6
34.933.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
3737
#26
17.50.6
14.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4291
#53
14.91.6
15.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
122
#48
11.20.6
11.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4767
#30
7.31.6
8.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4996
#54
10.80.6
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End