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Red80
340213.5
333114.4
44929.3
Blue102
264246.2
424524.8
205939.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4866010015020080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#18
29.32.4
23.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
2642
#13
46.23.2
29.232.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3331
#29
14.42.4
14.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.1
39.52.6
21.023.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3402
#31
13.52.4
12.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
4245
#45
24.83.2
12.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End