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Red7
47677.3
333621.4
479512.8
Blue28
153332.7
366112.6
493522.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49570100150200728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3336
#51
21.43.6
18.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
1533
#20
32.72.4
22.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4795
#32
12.83.6
20.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4935
#23
22.81.9
20.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4767
#30
7.33.6
11.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
3661
#33
12.62.4
14.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End