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Qual 672014 North Carolina Regional
Red22
453417.4
345920.5
499610.8
Blue118
340213.5
264139.8
424524.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654020408010012022118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#27
20.51.3
19.5→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.3
2641
#7
39.83.3
33.9→37.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4534
#21
17.42.0
16.6→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
4245
#45
24.85.1
7.8→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4996
#54
10.82.0
11.2→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
3402
#31
13.55.1
11.2→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—