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Qual 682014 North Carolina Regional
Red160
153332.7
111140.8
382214.2
Blue58
349314.2
456115.3
141332.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6943020608010012014016016058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#1
40.87.4
27.5→34.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.7
1413
#10
32.10.6
28.1→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1533
#20
32.77.4
27.6→35.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.4
4561
#40
15.30.9
14.7→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3822
#35
14.27.4
9.7→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
3493
#34
14.20.9
3.8→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—